Chaos, utter chaos.
Team spirit, gone.
Possibility, still there, but slight.
Somehow, Domenech’s men are still in with a shot of going through to the round of 16. They’re currently better placed than Le Guen’s Cameroon, and could be better placed than Honduras and DPR Korea by the time those groups have completed their 2nd round of games. It is not the most auspicious of company, however where there’s life there’s hope.
Firstly – the mathematical possibility – all three of the following must occur for France to qualify.
1) France must win.
2) There must be a winner between Uruguay and Mexico.- now a naysayer might suggest a contrived result, remember if Mexico draw with Uruguay, they (most likely) play Argentina, if they beat Uruguay they play Greece/South Korea/Nigeria. Will Mexico really only want to play for a draw?
3a) There must be a goal difference turnaround of more than 5 with Uruguay, or more than 4 with Mexico OR
3b) There must be a goal difference turnaround of 5 if Uruguay lose, or 4 if Mexico lose, AND France score 4 more goals than the loser Uruguay or loser Mexico. If France score 3 more goals than loser Uruguay then they will draw lots.
Secondly – can they achieve this.
Short answer is yes – albeit improbable.
Long answer includes these factors: The camp is an absolute mess, in disarray – as Dave has reliably informed you.
Domenech is still the manager.
Anelka’s contribution will be missed, that may or may not be a positive.
South Africa’s impressive goalkeeper Khune (who kept them in it against Mexico and whose distribution has been sublime) is suspended.
The France team will be fresh after not training.
There will be lots of people in and around Les Bleus trying to prove lots of other people wrong.
South Africa’s chance of qualifying is even slimmer than France’s, thus heads may drop.
The chances of France surviving this group are slim. If the do survive, the prospect of (most likely) facing Argentina in the next round daunting, however, there is still the possibilty, and whilst it still exists then why not speculate?